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51 résultat(s) recherche sur le mot-clé '7.6 - Changement Climatique' 



An overview of the interactions between food production and climate change / W.L. Filho in Science of the Total Environment, vol. 838, part. 3 (10 September 2022)
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Titre : An overview of the interactions between food production and climate change Type de document : objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ... Auteurs : W.L. Filho ; N.A.N.A. Etim ; F.K. Donkor ; E. Lokupitiya ; U.M. Azeiteiro ; A.F.F. Setti ; I. Djekic ; G.J. Nagy ; A. Sharifi ; F.M. Olooto ; N. Matandirotya Année de publication : 2022 Article en page(s) : p. 1-14 Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng) Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire du Monde Rural:Agronomie:Culture du sol:Production alimentaire ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique Mots-clés : 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique CLIMATIC CHANGE FOOD PRODUCTION IMPACT ASSESSMENT EVALUATION DE L'IMPACT SUPPLY CHAIN CHAINE D'APPROVISIONNEMENT CLIMATIC CHANGE MITIGATION ATTENUATION DES EFFETS DU CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE Résumé : This paper provides an overview of how food production influences climate change and also illustrates the impact of climate change on food production. To perform such an overview, the (inter)link between different parts of the food supply chain continuum (agriculture production, livestock farming, food processing, food transport and storing, retail food, and disposal of food waste) and climate change has been investigated through a bibliometric analysis. Besides UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 13, associated with climate change, other SDGs that are associated with this overview are goals #1, #2, #3, #6, #7, #12, and #15. Based on the evidence gathered, the paper provides some recommendations that may assist in efforts to reduce the climate-related impacts of food production. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156438 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=284566
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 838, part. 3 (10 September 2022) . - p. 1-14[article] An overview of the interactions between food production and climate change [objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ...] / W.L. Filho ; N.A.N.A. Etim ; F.K. Donkor ; E. Lokupitiya ; U.M. Azeiteiro ; A.F.F. Setti ; I. Djekic ; G.J. Nagy ; A. Sharifi ; F.M. Olooto ; N. Matandirotya . - 2022 . - p. 1-14.
Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng)
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 838, part. 3 (10 September 2022) . - p. 1-14
Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire du Monde Rural:Agronomie:Culture du sol:Production alimentaire ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique Mots-clés : 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique CLIMATIC CHANGE FOOD PRODUCTION IMPACT ASSESSMENT EVALUATION DE L'IMPACT SUPPLY CHAIN CHAINE D'APPROVISIONNEMENT CLIMATIC CHANGE MITIGATION ATTENUATION DES EFFETS DU CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE Résumé : This paper provides an overview of how food production influences climate change and also illustrates the impact of climate change on food production. To perform such an overview, the (inter)link between different parts of the food supply chain continuum (agriculture production, livestock farming, food processing, food transport and storing, retail food, and disposal of food waste) and climate change has been investigated through a bibliometric analysis. Besides UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 13, associated with climate change, other SDGs that are associated with this overview are goals #1, #2, #3, #6, #7, #12, and #15. Based on the evidence gathered, the paper provides some recommendations that may assist in efforts to reduce the climate-related impacts of food production. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156438 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=284566 Decadal analysis of impact of future climate on wheat production in dry Mediterranean environment: a case of Jordan / P.N. Dixit in Science of the Total Environment, vol. 610-611 (01/01/2018)
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Titre : Decadal analysis of impact of future climate on wheat production in dry Mediterranean environment: a case of Jordan Type de document : objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ... Auteurs : P.N. Dixit ; R. Telleria ; A.N. Al Khatib ; S.F. Allouzi Année de publication : 2018 Article en page(s) : p. 219-233 Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng) Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Asie et Pacifique:Moyen-Orient:Jordanie ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Météorologie:Zone climatique:Zone aride ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Sciences de la chimie:Gaz:Dioxyde de carbone Mots-clés : CLIMATIC CHANGE CARBON DIOXIDE IMPACT ASSESSMENT EVALUATION DE L'IMPACT CROP YIELD RENDEMENT DES CULTURES TRITICUM TRITICUM WHEATS BLE ARID ZONES MEDITERRANEAN CLIMATE CLIMAT MEDITERRANEEN JORDAN 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique Résumé : Different aspects of climate change, such as increased temperature, changed rainfall and higher atmospheric CO2 concentration, all have different effects on crop yields. Process-based crop models are the most widely used tools for estimating future crop yield responses to climate change. We applied APSIM crop simulation model in a dry Mediterranean climate with Jordan as sentinel site to assess impact of climate change on wheat production at decadal level considering two climate change scenarios of representative concentration pathways (RCP) viz., RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Impact of climatic variables alone was negative on grain yield but this adverse effect was negated when elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations were also considered in the simulations. Crop cycle of wheat was reduced by a fortnight for RCP4.5 scenario and by a month for RCP8.5 scenario at the approach of end of the century. On an average, a grain yield increase of 5 to 11% in near future i.e., 2010s–2030s decades, 12 to 16% in mid future i.e., 2040s–2060s decades and 9 to 16% in end of century period can be expected for moderate climate change scenario (RCP4.5) and 6 to 15% in near future, 13 to 19% in mid future and 7 to 20% increase in end of century period for a drastic climate change scenario (RCP8.5) based on different soils. Positive impact of elevated CO2 is more pronounced in soils with lower water holding capacity with moderate increase in temperatures. Elevated CO2 had greater positive effect on transpiration use efficiency (TUE) than negative effect of elevated mean temperatures. The change in TUE was in near perfect direct relationship with elevated CO2 levels (R2 > 0.99) and every 100-ppm atmospheric CO2 increase resulted in TUE increase by 2 kg ha− 1 mm− 1. Thereby, in this environment yield gains are expected in future and farmers can benefit from growing wheat. Transpiration use efficiency (kg ha− 1 mm− 1) of wheat yield production for baseline and decadal future climate based on RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios, with and without considering CO2 response, at Maru and Mushaqar, Jordan. Year 2015 represents 2010–2020 decade, year 2025 represents 2020–2030 decade and so on. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.270 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=240294
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 610-611 (01/01/2018) . - p. 219-233[article] Decadal analysis of impact of future climate on wheat production in dry Mediterranean environment: a case of Jordan [objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ...] / P.N. Dixit ; R. Telleria ; A.N. Al Khatib ; S.F. Allouzi . - 2018 . - p. 219-233.
Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng)
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 610-611 (01/01/2018) . - p. 219-233
Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Asie et Pacifique:Moyen-Orient:Jordanie ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Météorologie:Zone climatique:Zone aride ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Sciences de la chimie:Gaz:Dioxyde de carbone Mots-clés : CLIMATIC CHANGE CARBON DIOXIDE IMPACT ASSESSMENT EVALUATION DE L'IMPACT CROP YIELD RENDEMENT DES CULTURES TRITICUM TRITICUM WHEATS BLE ARID ZONES MEDITERRANEAN CLIMATE CLIMAT MEDITERRANEEN JORDAN 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique Résumé : Different aspects of climate change, such as increased temperature, changed rainfall and higher atmospheric CO2 concentration, all have different effects on crop yields. Process-based crop models are the most widely used tools for estimating future crop yield responses to climate change. We applied APSIM crop simulation model in a dry Mediterranean climate with Jordan as sentinel site to assess impact of climate change on wheat production at decadal level considering two climate change scenarios of representative concentration pathways (RCP) viz., RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Impact of climatic variables alone was negative on grain yield but this adverse effect was negated when elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations were also considered in the simulations. Crop cycle of wheat was reduced by a fortnight for RCP4.5 scenario and by a month for RCP8.5 scenario at the approach of end of the century. On an average, a grain yield increase of 5 to 11% in near future i.e., 2010s–2030s decades, 12 to 16% in mid future i.e., 2040s–2060s decades and 9 to 16% in end of century period can be expected for moderate climate change scenario (RCP4.5) and 6 to 15% in near future, 13 to 19% in mid future and 7 to 20% increase in end of century period for a drastic climate change scenario (RCP8.5) based on different soils. Positive impact of elevated CO2 is more pronounced in soils with lower water holding capacity with moderate increase in temperatures. Elevated CO2 had greater positive effect on transpiration use efficiency (TUE) than negative effect of elevated mean temperatures. The change in TUE was in near perfect direct relationship with elevated CO2 levels (R2 > 0.99) and every 100-ppm atmospheric CO2 increase resulted in TUE increase by 2 kg ha− 1 mm− 1. Thereby, in this environment yield gains are expected in future and farmers can benefit from growing wheat. Transpiration use efficiency (kg ha− 1 mm− 1) of wheat yield production for baseline and decadal future climate based on RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios, with and without considering CO2 response, at Maru and Mushaqar, Jordan. Year 2015 represents 2010–2020 decade, year 2025 represents 2020–2030 decade and so on. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.270 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=240294 Future losses of ecosystem services due to coastal erosion in Europe / D. Paprotny in Science of the Total Environment, vol. 760 (15 March 2021)
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Titre : Future losses of ecosystem services due to coastal erosion in Europe Type de document : objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ... Auteurs : D. Paprotny ; M.I. Vousdoukas ; P. Czaplinski ; A. Giza ; P. Terefenko Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : p. 1-15 Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng) Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire de l'Europe:Europe occidentale:France ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Géographie et océanographie:Océanographie physique:Niveau de la mer ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Sciences de la terre:Géodynamique:Érosion Mots-clés : 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique CLIMATIC CHANGE SEA LEVEL ECOSYSTEM SERVICES SERVICE ECOSYSTEMIQUE Résumé : Coastal erosion is a major issue facing Europe that will only worsen under future climate change and the resulting sea level rise. One effect of erosion is the loss of ecosystem services, which are provided by coastal areas, such as provisioning, regulating, habitat, and cultural services. These services can be quantified in monetary terms. Here, we present comprehensive estimates of future decline in coastal ecosystem services due to the erosion of sandy coastlines. We used datasets derived from remote sensing products: a pan-European land cover/use dataset (Corine Land Cover) and new global probabilistic coastal erosion projections constrained by artificial and topographical barriers to erosion. The results include historical changes (2000?2018) and projections under two emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for 2050 and 2100 together with uncertainty bounds. We estimate that in 2018, the coastal zone (excluding open sea) included 579,700 km2 of habitats generating 494 billion euros of services annually. The future sea-level rise could erode 1.0% [90% confidence interval 0.7?1.5%] of the 2018 area under RCP4.5, and 1.2% [0.7?2.2%] under RCP8.5. The decline in services would be even greater: 4.2% [3.0?6.1%] under RCP4.5, and 5.1% [3.3?8.5%] under RCP8.5. The highest absolute losses would be sustained by salt marshes, while relative losses would be highest in beaches, sands, and dunes. The most affected countries in relative economic terms would be Denmark, Albania, Greece, Estonia, and Finland, but countries such as Germany, the Netherlands, and France would be among those losing the largest share of their coastal ecosystem services. Regional analysis using NUTS 3 regions shows high diversity of the impacts, with many regions along the North Sea and eastern Mediterranean Sea that are heavily affected by coastal erosion-induced loss of ecosystem services. The study highlights the urgency of undertaking mitigation actions. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144310 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=272767
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 760 (15 March 2021) . - p. 1-15[article] Future losses of ecosystem services due to coastal erosion in Europe [objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ...] / D. Paprotny ; M.I. Vousdoukas ; P. Czaplinski ; A. Giza ; P. Terefenko . - 2021 . - p. 1-15.
Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng)
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 760 (15 March 2021) . - p. 1-15
Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire de l'Europe:Europe occidentale:France ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Géographie et océanographie:Océanographie physique:Niveau de la mer ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Sciences de la terre:Géodynamique:Érosion Mots-clés : 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique CLIMATIC CHANGE SEA LEVEL ECOSYSTEM SERVICES SERVICE ECOSYSTEMIQUE Résumé : Coastal erosion is a major issue facing Europe that will only worsen under future climate change and the resulting sea level rise. One effect of erosion is the loss of ecosystem services, which are provided by coastal areas, such as provisioning, regulating, habitat, and cultural services. These services can be quantified in monetary terms. Here, we present comprehensive estimates of future decline in coastal ecosystem services due to the erosion of sandy coastlines. We used datasets derived from remote sensing products: a pan-European land cover/use dataset (Corine Land Cover) and new global probabilistic coastal erosion projections constrained by artificial and topographical barriers to erosion. The results include historical changes (2000?2018) and projections under two emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for 2050 and 2100 together with uncertainty bounds. We estimate that in 2018, the coastal zone (excluding open sea) included 579,700 km2 of habitats generating 494 billion euros of services annually. The future sea-level rise could erode 1.0% [90% confidence interval 0.7?1.5%] of the 2018 area under RCP4.5, and 1.2% [0.7?2.2%] under RCP8.5. The decline in services would be even greater: 4.2% [3.0?6.1%] under RCP4.5, and 5.1% [3.3?8.5%] under RCP8.5. The highest absolute losses would be sustained by salt marshes, while relative losses would be highest in beaches, sands, and dunes. The most affected countries in relative economic terms would be Denmark, Albania, Greece, Estonia, and Finland, but countries such as Germany, the Netherlands, and France would be among those losing the largest share of their coastal ecosystem services. Regional analysis using NUTS 3 regions shows high diversity of the impacts, with many regions along the North Sea and eastern Mediterranean Sea that are heavily affected by coastal erosion-induced loss of ecosystem services. The study highlights the urgency of undertaking mitigation actions. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144310 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=272767 The impact of climate change scenarios on droughts and their propagation in an arid Mediterranean basin. A useful approach for planning adaptation strategies / J.-d.-D. Gomez-Gomez in Science of the Total Environment, vol. 820 (10 May 2022)
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Titre : The impact of climate change scenarios on droughts and their propagation in an arid Mediterranean basin. A useful approach for planning adaptation strategies Type de document : objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ... Auteurs : J.-d.-D. Gomez-Gomez ; F. Fernandez-Chacon ; A.-J. Collados-Lara ; D. Pulido-Velazquez Année de publication : 2022 Article en page(s) : p. 1-18 Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng) Catégories : C ECONOMIE - ECONOMIE SOCIALE ET SOLIDAIRE:Administration et gestion:Technique de gestion:Recherche opérationnelle:Scénario ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Catastrophe:Catastrophe naturelle:Sécheresse ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique Mots-clés : 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique CLIMATIC CHANGE DROUGHT STRATEGY STRATEGIE ADAPTATION TO CHANGE ADAPTATION AU CHANGEMENT MEDITERRANEAN REGION REGION MEDITERRANEENNE Résumé : Areas where there is a scarcity of water frequently experience significant drought periods, which may become exacerbated in the future due to climate change. In this paper we propose a novel and integrated method for a semi-distributed analysis of the impact on potential future meteorological, hydrological, agronomical and operational droughts within a basin. We analyse the propagation and correlation of the different types of droughts, and then this analysis can be used to plan sustainable adaptation strategies. The proposed method is based on sequential applications of different statistical techniques and mathematical models. We have applied several statistical downscaling techniques to generate consistent local future climate scenarios considering both basic and drought statistics. This allows us to analyse the sensitivity of the results to the applied technique and the spatial distribution. A chain of models has been used to propagate climate scenarios to analyse the hydrological, agricultural, and operational impact. We have applied a clustering analysis to historical data to identify homogeneous hydro-climate areas used to analyse the spatial distribution of the impact. The approach has been applied in the Segura basin (in south-eastern Spain). The simulations of the impact in the 3 generated ensemble scenarios on the whole Segura Basin system for the horizon 2071?2100 under the RCP8.5 emission scenario show a significant mean reduction (40.9?59.1%) of the available resources, an increase in pumping rates in aquifers (36.4?42.7%) and lower guarantees (96.3% in the historical period and 75.0?77.6% in the future scenarios) for demand supply. The spatial distribution of the impact is heterogeneous, with the hydro-climate areas near to the coast for agricultural and operational droughts being more affected. An analysis of correlation between the meteorological and operational droughts shows the maximum correlation for a time delay of around 4 months. This information could help to identify when measures to reduce the operational impact should start to be applied when a meteorological drought starts. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153128 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=279743
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 820 (10 May 2022) . - p. 1-18[article] The impact of climate change scenarios on droughts and their propagation in an arid Mediterranean basin. A useful approach for planning adaptation strategies [objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ...] / J.-d.-D. Gomez-Gomez ; F. Fernandez-Chacon ; A.-J. Collados-Lara ; D. Pulido-Velazquez . - 2022 . - p. 1-18.
Langues : Anglais (eng) Langues originales : Anglais (eng)
in Science of the Total Environment > vol. 820 (10 May 2022) . - p. 1-18
Catégories : C ECONOMIE - ECONOMIE SOCIALE ET SOLIDAIRE:Administration et gestion:Technique de gestion:Recherche opérationnelle:Scénario ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Catastrophe:Catastrophe naturelle:Sécheresse ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique Mots-clés : 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique CLIMATIC CHANGE DROUGHT STRATEGY STRATEGIE ADAPTATION TO CHANGE ADAPTATION AU CHANGEMENT MEDITERRANEAN REGION REGION MEDITERRANEENNE Résumé : Areas where there is a scarcity of water frequently experience significant drought periods, which may become exacerbated in the future due to climate change. In this paper we propose a novel and integrated method for a semi-distributed analysis of the impact on potential future meteorological, hydrological, agronomical and operational droughts within a basin. We analyse the propagation and correlation of the different types of droughts, and then this analysis can be used to plan sustainable adaptation strategies. The proposed method is based on sequential applications of different statistical techniques and mathematical models. We have applied several statistical downscaling techniques to generate consistent local future climate scenarios considering both basic and drought statistics. This allows us to analyse the sensitivity of the results to the applied technique and the spatial distribution. A chain of models has been used to propagate climate scenarios to analyse the hydrological, agricultural, and operational impact. We have applied a clustering analysis to historical data to identify homogeneous hydro-climate areas used to analyse the spatial distribution of the impact. The approach has been applied in the Segura basin (in south-eastern Spain). The simulations of the impact in the 3 generated ensemble scenarios on the whole Segura Basin system for the horizon 2071?2100 under the RCP8.5 emission scenario show a significant mean reduction (40.9?59.1%) of the available resources, an increase in pumping rates in aquifers (36.4?42.7%) and lower guarantees (96.3% in the historical period and 75.0?77.6% in the future scenarios) for demand supply. The spatial distribution of the impact is heterogeneous, with the hydro-climate areas near to the coast for agricultural and operational droughts being more affected. An analysis of correlation between the meteorological and operational droughts shows the maximum correlation for a time delay of around 4 months. This information could help to identify when measures to reduce the operational impact should start to be applied when a meteorological drought starts. En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153128 Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=279743 L’adaptation de l’agriculture au changement climatique / V. Cailliez in Futuribles : l'anticipation au service de l'action / BM de Tours, SCD et Cairn.info, no. 407 (Juillet-Août)
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Titre : L’adaptation de l’agriculture au changement climatique : apport de la projection tendancielle Type de document : objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ... Auteurs : V. Cailliez ; F. Levrault Année de publication : 2015 Article en page(s) : p. 39-56 Langues : Français (fre) Langues originales : Français (fre) Anglais (eng) Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire de l'Europe:Europe occidentale:France ; A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire du Monde Rural:Agriculture ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique Mots-clés : CLIMATIC CHANGE ADAPTATION TO CHANGE ADAPTATION AU CHANGEMENT PROJECTION 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique Résumé : Alors qu’approche la prochaine conférence des parties à la Convention-cadre des Nations unies sur les changements climatiques (COP), prévue fin 2015 à Paris, les questions climatiques sont à l’honneur, mais souvent traitées de manière très « macro ». Pourtant, comme on peut le voir dans ce numéro, certains territoires français font l’effort de projeter à leur échelle les changements anticipés à l’échelle planétaire ainsi que les conséquences qui en découlent. C’est le cas du bassin de la Garonne (voir l’article sur la prospective Garonne 2050), c’est aussi le cas du Limousin au travers des travaux présentés ici par Vincent Cailliez et Frédéric Levrault. Se fondant sur la méthode de projection dite tendancielle, les auteurs proposent une analyse des impacts du changement climatique dans le département de la Creuse à l’horizon 2040, et des mesures d’adaptation qui pourraient être envisagées, dans le secteur agricole, pour y faire face. En effet, l’analyse organisationnelle (en tendance et en variabilité) de données climatiques journalières observées entre 1980 et 2010 permet, par prolongation de 2010 à 2040, de documenter de nombreux indicateurs agroclimatiques utilisables pour l’adaptation de l’agriculture au changement climatique. Cette approche, complémentaire des travaux actuels de modélisation climatique, ouvre une voie opérationnelle pour décrire finement l’évolution climatique possible des toutes prochaines années, et permet de bâtir des messages locaux et concrets d’adaptation de l’agriculture, s’agissant tant de la conduite technique des cultures, que de l’élaboration de stratégies régionales ou départementales d’adaptation. Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=137269
in Futuribles : l'anticipation au service de l'action / BM de Tours, SCD et Cairn.info > no. 407 (Juillet-Août) . - p. 39-56[article] L’adaptation de l’agriculture au changement climatique : apport de la projection tendancielle [objet à 3 dimensions, artefacts, ...] / V. Cailliez ; F. Levrault . - 2015 . - p. 39-56.
Langues : Français (fre) Langues originales : Français (fre) Anglais (eng)
in Futuribles : l'anticipation au service de l'action / BM de Tours, SCD et Cairn.info > no. 407 (Juillet-Août) . - p. 39-56
Catégories : A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire de l'Europe:Europe occidentale:France ; A HISTOIRE - Pays et ensemble de pays:Histoire du Monde Rural:Agriculture ; S SCIENCES ET TECHNIQUES:Pollution, catastrophes et sécurité:Dégradation de l'environnement:Changement climatique Mots-clés : CLIMATIC CHANGE ADAPTATION TO CHANGE ADAPTATION AU CHANGEMENT PROJECTION 07 - ENVIRONNEMENT 7.6 - Changement Climatique Résumé : Alors qu’approche la prochaine conférence des parties à la Convention-cadre des Nations unies sur les changements climatiques (COP), prévue fin 2015 à Paris, les questions climatiques sont à l’honneur, mais souvent traitées de manière très « macro ». Pourtant, comme on peut le voir dans ce numéro, certains territoires français font l’effort de projeter à leur échelle les changements anticipés à l’échelle planétaire ainsi que les conséquences qui en découlent. C’est le cas du bassin de la Garonne (voir l’article sur la prospective Garonne 2050), c’est aussi le cas du Limousin au travers des travaux présentés ici par Vincent Cailliez et Frédéric Levrault. Se fondant sur la méthode de projection dite tendancielle, les auteurs proposent une analyse des impacts du changement climatique dans le département de la Creuse à l’horizon 2040, et des mesures d’adaptation qui pourraient être envisagées, dans le secteur agricole, pour y faire face. En effet, l’analyse organisationnelle (en tendance et en variabilité) de données climatiques journalières observées entre 1980 et 2010 permet, par prolongation de 2010 à 2040, de documenter de nombreux indicateurs agroclimatiques utilisables pour l’adaptation de l’agriculture au changement climatique. Cette approche, complémentaire des travaux actuels de modélisation climatique, ouvre une voie opérationnelle pour décrire finement l’évolution climatique possible des toutes prochaines années, et permet de bâtir des messages locaux et concrets d’adaptation de l’agriculture, s’agissant tant de la conduite technique des cultures, que de l’élaboration de stratégies régionales ou départementales d’adaptation. Permalink : https://cs.iut.univ-tours.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=137269 Adaptation aux changements climatiques in Natures, Sciences, Sociétés / Cairn.info et NSS-Journal.org, 18 - 3 (01/07/2010)
PermalinkL’adaptation, un concept systémique pour mieux penser les changements climatiques in Norois : environnement - aménagement - société / Cairn.info, journals.openedition.org et Persée, n. 245 (01/10/2017)
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PermalinkL’adaptation des territoires aux changements climatiques dans l’Oriental marocain / A. François in VertigO - la revue électronique en sciences de l'environnement / OpenEdition et erudit.org, vol. 16, n. 1 (mai 2016)
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PermalinkAnalyse des stratégies d’adaptations des agriculteurs de Skoura (Ouarzazate) aux changements climatiques / L. Aziz in Alternatives rurales, n. 4 (01/10/2016)
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PermalinkApproches transversales pour la définition de stratégies d’adaptation au changement climatique / N. Fürst in Sciences, Eaux & Territoires : la revue d’Irstea / Cairn.info, n. 28 (Août 2019)
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PermalinkL'après Kyoto : quelle approche face au changement climatique / S. Blaise in Mondes en développement / Cairn.info, n. 154 (01/04/2011)
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PermalinkCapabilités et adaptation en Île-de-France. De la difficulté à intégrer les capabilités dans les plans locaux d’adaptation au changement climatique / M. Pommerieux in Natures, Sciences, Sociétés / Cairn.info et NSS-Journal.org, vol. 29, n. 2 (Avril-Juin 2021)
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PermalinkChangement climatique et agriculture d'élevage en zone de montagne / C. Sérès in Le courrier de l'environnement de l'INRA / INRA, n. 58 (01/03/2010)
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PermalinkLes conséquences du dérèglement climatique sur l’agriculture / A. Neveu in Paysans et société / CIHEAM-IAMM, n. 390 (Novembre-Décembre 2021)
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PermalinkCycles de l'eau et bilans continentaux face aux changements climatiques / K. Laval in Comptes rendus de l'Académie d'agriculture de France, vol. 93, n. 3 ([01/11/2007])
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PermalinkDesign territorial et changement climatique : innover pour s’adapter à une ressource en eau incertaine / F. Bertrand in Innovations : revue d’économie et de management de l'innovation / Cairn.info, n. 54 (01/09/2017)
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PermalinkLes différentes formes de déplacement du vignoble : des leviers pour adapter la viticulture au changement climatique ? / C. Thermes in Norois : environnement - aménagement - société / Cairn.info, journals.openedition.org et Persée, n. 254 (Janvier 2020)
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PermalinkL’élaboration des politiques climatiques locales : usage et portée d’un dispositif de concertation / F. Bertrand in DDT, Développement Durable et Territoires : économie, géographie, politique, droit, sociologie / journals.openedition.org, vol. 8, n. 2 (01/06/2017)
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PermalinkEmissions de gaz à effet de serre et changement climatique : causes et conséquences observées pour l'agriculture et l'élevage / Bernard SEGUIN in Le courrier de l'environnement de l'INRA / INRA, 55 (Février 2008)
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PermalinkFocus - La prospective, une démarche pour explorer la sensibilité du territoire au changement climatique / L. Tschanz in Sciences, Eaux & Territoires : la revue d’Irstea / Cairn.info, n. 28 (Août 2019)
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